research: finalize experimental synthesis

2026-10-01 01:00:32 +07:00
1 parent d30e9831e6
commit 8a571a2387
@@ -0,0 +1,91 @@
+dataset,alpha,seed,beta,n_eligible,n_improve_vs_beta0,n_degrade_vs_beta0,n_unchanged,mean_delta_rare_macro_f1,median_delta_rare_macro_f1,min_delta_rare_macro_f1,max_delta_rare_macro_f1
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+dataset,alpha,beta,pooled_validation_mean,sample_std,pooled_rare_recall,selected
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+xiiotid,0.25,3,Lateral_movement,3.7263813611395125,1.3833916615643342,0.7895377723300525
+xiiotid,0.25,4,Normal,1.9966341269597232,0.5327206047251788,0.3701992118201333
+xiiotid,0.25,5,RDOS,2.5658707936642617,1.2193483512552363,0.3281078404629119
+xiiotid,0.25,6,Reconnaissance,3.3391889586431325,1.1073644700689869,0.6402396428113026
+xiiotid,0.25,7,Tampering,4.247813103636777,0.24113229030491104,0.9653304277937593
+xiiotid,0.25,8,Weaponization,3.1235303582992926,0.585141395295389,0.5634271266802224
+xiiotid,0.5,0,C&C,1.6935576092145832,0.5048307458168824,0.3187155176777392
+xiiotid,0.5,1,Exfiltration,2.0204769683934525,0.5020218016853628,0.2973123924755737
+xiiotid,0.5,2,Exploitation,2.343885289699028,0.4121833629248462,0.4231523311819784
+xiiotid,0.5,3,Lateral_movement,2.7240136758504594,1.0350790616091956,0.40257578575923714
+xiiotid,0.5,4,Normal,1.557331074720638,0.5480258187545208,0.2920883603702228
+xiiotid,0.5,5,RDOS,2.6312389613743776,1.1651317404804817,0.3523347102777825
+xiiotid,0.5,6,Reconnaissance,1.00151995809175,0.26099624924542353,0.16884924727680906
+xiiotid,0.5,7,Tampering,2.354018138564271,1.165407725687578,0.48267240310142356
+xiiotid,0.5,8,Weaponization,2.560790423872144,1.2282783431433644,0.4334295567239335
+xiiotid,0.75,0,C&C,1.2839465030740465,0.5431989970423492,0.2617816727650299
+xiiotid,0.75,1,Exfiltration,1.4475761921343262,0.08598433748869257,0.20679504552799255
+xiiotid,0.75,2,Exploitation,1.5392602070293495,0.25171201225922846,0.2839417733897609
+xiiotid,0.75,3,Lateral_movement,1.3693216274264168,0.5527158531960167,0.2618053240393338
+xiiotid,0.75,4,Normal,0.9031246281714095,0.298425213658255,0.1619501084487235
+xiiotid,0.75,5,RDOS,0.8141011244781585,0.20007357231332454,0.0957646213985643
+xiiotid,0.75,6,Reconnaissance,0.9825580428619212,0.4118545897797079,0.17068982082838355
+xiiotid,0.75,7,Tampering,1.934147031540858,0.4266139988379522,0.397088566305455
+xiiotid,0.75,8,Weaponization,1.4719590343511655,0.17030548300304388,0.23542365279592728
+5gnidd,0.25,0,Benign,2.648344737773736,0.5188602564457683,0.4821737572132332
+5gnidd,0.25,1,HTTPFlood,3.7602841668463944,1.5390234836296783,0.5584139964274445
+5gnidd,0.25,2,ICMPFlood,1.2149615886933787,0.1507085895098706,0.34685106134597526
+5gnidd,0.25,3,SYNFlood,3.1763695442454467,1.0069739670231537,0.9167291408106705
+5gnidd,0.25,4,SYNScan,3.814579780422797,1.4018369744978139,0.5442267347415422
+5gnidd,0.25,5,SlowrateDoS,3.178870743072719,1.1570108600313702,0.5619090743749164
+5gnidd,0.25,6,TCPConnectScan,3.257943080113345,2.5741100653263422,0.8873673593640223
+5gnidd,0.25,7,UDPFlood,2.4077369723424735,0.5783305176966848,0.47667894621080914
+5gnidd,0.25,8,UDPScan,2.815810730131176,1.6041886744624576,0.37142192996652196
+5gnidd,0.5,0,Benign,1.6898663850795066,0.6987889577561244,0.29591075596118094
+5gnidd,0.5,1,HTTPFlood,3.120458869697078,1.2894156117591726,0.43348480339644263
+5gnidd,0.5,2,ICMPFlood,1.1588454233322945,0.09271748323377921,0.32092174099674725
+5gnidd,0.5,3,SYNFlood,2.2617693416611573,0.7483497200280906,0.6584039968772434
+5gnidd,0.5,4,SYNScan,2.8752781124355127,0.9588449812962653,0.3958823033995225
+5gnidd,0.5,5,SlowrateDoS,2.763430109051773,1.4542368289687693,0.4536612328161466
+5gnidd,0.5,6,TCPConnectScan,2.130611279721881,0.21282292441201225,0.5753306009264239
+5gnidd,0.5,7,UDPFlood,1.5982465815194804,0.42810184263788215,0.30005165770255965
+5gnidd,0.5,8,UDPScan,3.460669125965779,2.0113615605321216,0.4243985120323746
+5gnidd,0.75,0,Benign,0.8242192109522325,0.2718678603634198,0.13820856413319157
+5gnidd,0.75,1,HTTPFlood,1.3664020721980037,0.5435449017657998,0.17507931126042764
+5gnidd,0.75,2,ICMPFlood,0.6733630855518974,0.33119344952410124,0.1786782977125397
+5gnidd,0.75,3,SYNFlood,1.8966313690365364,0.1707004572307703,0.5423454423708408
+5gnidd,0.75,4,SYNScan,1.5627721380862394,0.6395395815733285,0.19898769631915747
+5gnidd,0.75,5,SlowrateDoS,1.5649187261569397,0.654138365253272,0.2522141838283814
+5gnidd,0.75,6,TCPConnectScan,1.2260809195578348,0.4757573735353394,0.32576611133643296
+5gnidd,0.75,7,UDPFlood,0.9026363032967967,0.10316225038256528,0.16267861998433658
+5gnidd,0.75,8,UDPScan,2.444525243361723,0.48441013395931937,0.2850436623074378
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
+dataset,alpha,cells_sj_lt_M_total,cells_total,missing_client_class_cells_total,client_size_ratio_mean,client_size_ratio_max,support_cv_mean,support_cv_max_where_available,support_max_min_ratio_max,union_rare_mean,union_unseen_mean,max_unseen_on_client,eligible_clients_per_seed,union_rare_per_seed,union_unseen_per_seed
+xiiotid,0.25,19,27,38,14.745270966890343,20.837033843500755,1.4423832412721973,2.1341217158156836,122800.0,7.666666666666667,5.666666666666667,4,10|10|10,8|7|8,6|6|5
+xiiotid,0.5,7,27,9,7.405360903230798,9.890694678426321,1.1833344484214374,2.0951833233286665,12215.0,6.666666666666667,2.3333333333333335,2,10|10|10,6|7|7,3|3|1
+xiiotid,0.75,3,27,4,4.668973713188908,5.07283910650696,0.8806570470947873,1.3221152695060867,1903.0,5.0,1.0,1,10|10|10,4|5|6,2|1|0
+5gnidd,0.25,16,27,30,17.600940070872678,27.82808487633464,1.3021194271854393,2.138942553879626,185504.0,6.666666666666667,5.333333333333333,3,10|10|10,6|6|8,6|5|5
+5gnidd,0.5,4,27,4,9.594308791178781,12.717827450589933,1.2251708481787265,1.9640881124634801,88943.0,5.666666666666667,1.3333333333333333,1,10|10|10,6|5|6,2|0|2
+5gnidd,0.75,4,27,5,6.308651536045827,11.355971110240189,0.9162099053779219,1.2651419073123291,7642.5,6.0,1.3333333333333333,1,10|10|10,6|6|6,2|2|0
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
+dataset,alpha,selected_beta,selected_minus_original_rare_macro_f1,selected_minus_original_rare_recall,selected_minus_original_macro_f1,selected_minus_original_accuracy,selected_minus_original_weighted_f1,descriptive_interpretation
+xiiotid,0.25,0.0,-0.000654707802382859,-0.0007083831515385386,-0.0006741622353423349,-0.0014166016708530016,-0.0007698862919814919,numerical/descriptive difference only; not a test of statistical superiority
+xiiotid,0.5,0.75,0.022982586416122386,-0.014374000954948563,0.02220443400015426,0.006937663385145676,0.00889883310041717,numerical/descriptive difference only; not a test of statistical superiority
+xiiotid,0.75,0.5,0.0013560185452363704,-0.007739443483596897,0.005786987337823679,0.007533373047310832,0.00608024689536979,numerical/descriptive difference only; not a test of statistical superiority
+5gnidd,0.25,0.0,-0.0010388235847773597,0.0006605396210892511,-0.0027650156824441385,-0.0007429430689033234,-0.0009720113916064088,numerical/descriptive difference only; not a test of statistical superiority
+5gnidd,0.5,1.0,-0.008557880645695959,-0.005809066141944985,-0.003799042805718411,-0.0007182696828510471,-0.0005346795091106804,numerical/descriptive difference only; not a test of statistical superiority
+5gnidd,0.75,0.5,0.01683683306978989,-0.0015126750275882284,0.011744866973314672,0.0013186554101197734,0.0014199972720251308,numerical/descriptive difference only; not a test of statistical superiority
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
+dataset,alpha,selected_beta,best_pooled_score,second_best_pooled_score,second_best_beta,absolute_gap,relative_gap,selected_beta_sample_std,min_candidate_sample_std,max_candidate_sample_std,top2_gap_over_selected_std,per_seed_diagnostic_betas,n_seeds_agree_with_pooled,separation_classification
+xiiotid,0.25,0.0,0.5917038146634539,0.5886906256417319,0.25,0.0030131890217219848,0.005092394111800361,0.08952883653922933,0.044857849968223555,0.08952883653922933,0.033656072592897816,0.75|0.5|0,1,small numerical separation relative to seed variability (top-2 gap <= selected-beta across-seed sample std)
+xiiotid,0.5,0.75,0.5793667895728949,0.5734790834215032,1.0,0.0058877061513916695,0.010162312126540849,0.07512057331236716,0.07512057331236716,0.1004496749103663,0.07837674676562102,0.5|1|0.75,1,small numerical separation relative to seed variability (top-2 gap <= selected-beta across-seed sample std)
+xiiotid,0.75,0.5,0.47674948263663786,0.47436809609801456,0.25,0.002381386538623298,0.004995047976671449,0.04662425884469754,0.044741855341153436,0.055329314644425844,0.05107612641212262,0.5|0.5|0,2,small numerical separation relative to seed variability (top-2 gap <= selected-beta across-seed sample std)
+5gnidd,0.25,0.0,0.7614534210908004,0.7492858468825278,0.25,0.012167574208272636,0.01597940710653357,0.021902537932118035,0.002755842556750987,0.021902537932118035,0.5555326166302408,0.25|0|0,2,small numerical separation relative to seed variability (top-2 gap <= selected-beta across-seed sample std)
+5gnidd,0.5,1.0,0.6923695590578484,0.6883680316141424,0.75,0.004001527443705966,0.005779467614305719,0.13914040832229815,0.052725844344546816,0.13914040832229815,0.02875891692395368,1|0|1,2,small numerical separation relative to seed variability (top-2 gap <= selected-beta across-seed sample std)
+5gnidd,0.75,0.5,0.8090814343293601,0.8043064619946296,1.0,0.004774972334730454,0.005901720311612864,0.05873543815277214,0.05096339060419691,0.06497400095064636,0.081296275041154,0.5|1|1,1,small numerical separation relative to seed variability (top-2 gap <= selected-beta across-seed sample std)
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
+dataset,alpha,selected_beta,pooled_validation_mean,pooled_validation_std_sample,selected_rare_macro_f1_mean,selected_rare_macro_f1_std,selected_rare_recall_mean,selected_rare_recall_std,selected_macro_f1_mean,selected_macro_f1_std,selected_accuracy_mean,selected_accuracy_std,selected_weighted_f1_mean,selected_weighted_f1_std,original_rare_macro_f1_mean,original_rare_macro_f1_std,original_rare_recall_mean,original_rare_recall_std,original_macro_f1_mean,original_macro_f1_std,original_accuracy_mean,original_accuracy_std,original_weighted_f1_mean,original_weighted_f1_std,cells_sj_lt_M,missing_client_class_cells,client_size_ratio_mean,support_cv_mean,mean_displacement_beta1,beta0_equivalence_class,test_used_for_selection,audit_verdict
+xiiotid,0.25,0.0,0.5917038146634539,0.08952883653922933,0.6321355974773142,0.047641778563026725,0.8212568016859243,0.012283281629867224,0.6813433722144538,0.020555132742947534,0.8740145713449322,0.010266545051804108,0.9068823111564912,0.007408425095578143,0.632790305279697,0.04715228886220545,0.8219651848374628,0.010810973971484781,0.6820175344497962,0.02096686007526524,0.8754311730157852,0.009066523301774463,0.9076521974484727,0.0069343939753111275,19,38,14.745270966890343,1.4423832412721973,3.42212533168931,B,False,PASS WITH MINOR CORRECTIONS (Session 7)
+xiiotid,0.5,0.75,0.5793667895728949,0.07512057331236716,0.6655025083742895,0.026684712591240056,0.86258272574027,0.013920609948849614,0.7311691156241865,0.006233755140268,0.9063916985504398,0.018450460685614026,0.9336316455838293,0.011230108565482132,0.6425199219581671,0.028683282930463034,0.8769567266952185,0.010770970951613777,0.7089646816240323,0.0011722251041387445,0.8994540351652941,0.008398091032446977,0.9247328124834121,0.006244765764216192,7,9,7.405360903230798,1.1833344484214374,2.0985368999756338,B,False,PASS WITH MINOR CORRECTIONS (Session 6)
+xiiotid,0.75,0.5,0.47674948263663786,0.04662425884469754,0.6052456782307091,0.08548886486265879,0.8487646652689419,0.039255535276369505,0.7576359407646712,0.014060416901925105,0.9281095123164508,0.012136684529934048,0.9452163089135119,0.008528481213975155,0.6038896596854727,0.07776445613264914,0.8565041087525388,0.03533794219558259,0.7518489534268475,0.012228464472937675,0.92057613926914,0.012128815595858657,0.9391360620181421,0.008628878095570825,3,4,4.668973713188908,0.8806570470947873,1.305110487896406,B,False,PASS (Session 8)
+5gnidd,0.25,0.0,0.7614534210908004,0.021902537932118035,0.8412355814155769,0.024201888695409735,0.9612162422875251,0.03134699156678076,0.8166404182626198,0.01335696520619808,0.730225309136966,0.019524710435296355,0.7044634053674654,0.018175165847202895,0.8422744050003542,0.025370068519978167,0.9605557026664359,0.032423277290702865,0.8194054339450639,0.013918675694370832,0.7309682522058694,0.02143091560670625,0.7054354167590718,0.02036694411653514,16,30,17.600940070872678,1.3021194271854393,2.91943348262683,B,False,PASS (Session 11)
+5gnidd,0.5,1.0,0.6923695590578484,0.13914040832229815,0.8719837976555308,0.028500884123071776,0.9671039796439406,0.007942238914573898,0.8385961780131425,0.019627422368850796,0.743256969203502,0.0006668791219600918,0.7181952009373496,0.0016799838366213199,0.8805416783012268,0.0370578200850738,0.9729130457858856,0.0038428107281798614,0.8423952208188609,0.02083962881650294,0.7439752388863531,0.008392660852506539,0.7187298804464602,0.00867754781098361,4,4,9.594308791178781,1.2251708481787265,2.3399083587182736,B,False,PASS (Session 9)
+5gnidd,0.75,0.5,0.8090814343293601,0.05873543815277214,0.8967376245747419,0.014470318925337908,0.9597014107775274,0.0010245851497612311,0.8531495688589309,0.009572296127013734,0.7522737210618877,0.0025025090963709863,0.7274674299268966,0.0032168140791904,0.879900791504952,0.023120839413686988,0.9612140858051156,0.002143727670860224,0.8414047018856162,0.014091078328488028,0.750955065651768,0.0035777922288362054,0.7260474326548715,0.004543897028843018,4,5,6.308651536045827,0.9162099053779219,1.3846165631331335,B,False,PASS (Session 10)
@@ -0,0 +1,217 @@
+{
+  "description": "Authoritative six-condition master table (validation-selected beta; test metrics are post-selection descriptive summaries).",
+  "source_artifacts": "artifacts/analysis/*__multiseed__*, **partition_heterogeneity**",
+  "n_conditions": 6,
+  "rows": [
+    {
+      "dataset": "xiiotid",
+      "alpha": 0.25,
+      "selected_beta": 0.0,
+      "pooled_validation_mean": 0.5917038146634539,
+      "pooled_validation_std_sample": 0.08952883653922933,
+      "selected_rare_macro_f1_mean": 0.6321355974773142,
+      "selected_rare_macro_f1_std": 0.047641778563026725,
+      "selected_rare_recall_mean": 0.8212568016859243,
+      "selected_rare_recall_std": 0.012283281629867224,
+      "selected_macro_f1_mean": 0.6813433722144538,
+      "selected_macro_f1_std": 0.020555132742947534,
+      "selected_accuracy_mean": 0.8740145713449322,
+      "selected_accuracy_std": 0.010266545051804108,
+      "selected_weighted_f1_mean": 0.9068823111564912,
+      "selected_weighted_f1_std": 0.007408425095578143,
+      "original_rare_macro_f1_mean": 0.632790305279697,
+      "original_rare_macro_f1_std": 0.04715228886220545,
+      "original_rare_recall_mean": 0.8219651848374628,
+      "original_rare_recall_std": 0.010810973971484781,
+      "original_macro_f1_mean": 0.6820175344497962,
+      "original_macro_f1_std": 0.02096686007526524,
+      "original_accuracy_mean": 0.8754311730157852,
+      "original_accuracy_std": 0.009066523301774463,
+      "original_weighted_f1_mean": 0.9076521974484727,
+      "original_weighted_f1_std": 0.0069343939753111275,
+      "cells_sj_lt_M": 19,
+      "missing_client_class_cells": 38,
+      "client_size_ratio_mean": 14.745270966890343,
+      "support_cv_mean": 1.4423832412721973,
+      "mean_displacement_beta1": 3.42212533168931,
+      "beta0_equivalence_class": "B",
+      "test_used_for_selection": false,
+      "audit_verdict": "PASS WITH MINOR CORRECTIONS (Session 7)"
+    },
+    {
+      "dataset": "xiiotid",
+      "alpha": 0.5,
+      "selected_beta": 0.75,
+      "pooled_validation_mean": 0.5793667895728949,
+      "pooled_validation_std_sample": 0.07512057331236716,
+      "selected_rare_macro_f1_mean": 0.6655025083742895,
+      "selected_rare_macro_f1_std": 0.026684712591240056,
+      "selected_rare_recall_mean": 0.86258272574027,
+      "selected_rare_recall_std": 0.013920609948849614,
+      "selected_macro_f1_mean": 0.7311691156241865,
+      "selected_macro_f1_std": 0.006233755140268,
+      "selected_accuracy_mean": 0.9063916985504398,
+      "selected_accuracy_std": 0.018450460685614026,
+      "selected_weighted_f1_mean": 0.9336316455838293,
+      "selected_weighted_f1_std": 0.011230108565482132,
+      "original_rare_macro_f1_mean": 0.6425199219581671,
+      "original_rare_macro_f1_std": 0.028683282930463034,
+      "original_rare_recall_mean": 0.8769567266952185,
+      "original_rare_recall_std": 0.010770970951613777,
+      "original_macro_f1_mean": 0.7089646816240323,
+      "original_macro_f1_std": 0.0011722251041387445,
+      "original_accuracy_mean": 0.8994540351652941,
+      "original_accuracy_std": 0.008398091032446977,
+      "original_weighted_f1_mean": 0.9247328124834121,
+      "original_weighted_f1_std": 0.006244765764216192,
+      "cells_sj_lt_M": 7,
+      "missing_client_class_cells": 9,
+      "client_size_ratio_mean": 7.405360903230798,
+      "support_cv_mean": 1.1833344484214374,
+      "mean_displacement_beta1": 2.0985368999756338,
+      "beta0_equivalence_class": "B",
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